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Serbs more optimistic about 2024, Slovenes the most pessimistic in CE

01/17/2024   •   Customer news
Serbs more optimistic about 2024, Slovenes the most pessimistic in CE
While over half of the respondents in 10 Central European countries had a quite negative assessment of the year 2023, the year 2024 is awaited with some modest optimism in Austria, Hungary, Montenegro, and Serbia, where the majority of the respondents believe that this year will be good for their countries. 

According to CEPER research, Montenegro is the most optimistic among Central European countries – 67% of Montenegrins expect 2024 to be rather good, while in Serbia, a little above half of respondents (53%) forecast 2024 to be a good year. 

The much-awaited new year is associated not only with new opportunities, but with worries as well. With a turbulent year behind Central Eastern Europe, marked by armed conflicts and economic uncertainty, the region entered the new year with modest expectations, as shown in the research. 

A look at the past year 

Disillusionment marked the year Central Europeans left behind. In Austria and Montenegro, less than half of the respondents consider the past year of 2023 to have been rather bad for their country. However, in Serbia, Hungary, Croatia, Czech Republic, Poland, and Romania, a strong majority, between 55% and 69% of respondents, looks at the year 2023 rather negatively. 

Slovakia, Bulgaria, North Macedonia, and Slovenia are the most disillusioned countries in the region, with over 70% of respondents saying that the past year has been rather bad for their nation. In Slovenia, a staggeringly high percentage, 82% of survey respondents, assessed the past year negatively – in other words, four-fifths of Slovenes have a gloomy view of the past 12 months. 

Austria was the only surveyed country with a balanced view of 2023 – the past year was assessed to be good and bad by a roughly equal number of respondents. 

Expectations from 2024 

While 2023 is viewed as bad, 2024 is met with some modest optimism. In Austria, Hungary, Montenegro, and Serbia the absolute majority expect the new year to be rather good for their nations. Montenegro remained the most hopeful country in this regard, too – 67% of Montenegrins expect 2024 to be rather good, which is a 15% higher result than in Austria. 

In Serbia, a little above half of respondents (53%) forecast 2024 to be a good year. In Croatia and Romania 40%, while in Bulgaria, Czech Republic, North Macedonia, and Slovakia between 30% and 39% of respondents expect the new year to be decent for their countries. Slovenia remained the most pessimistic country on this estimate too, as only 26% of respondents said that this year would be good, while 67% have gloomy expectations. In other words, in 11 of the studied countries, at least one in three respondents hope for a good year in 2024. 

In each surveyed country considerably fewer respondents expect 2024 to be a bad year for their countries, than how many consider 2023 a rather troubled year. In North Macedonia, for instance, 75% of respondents look at 2023 with disillusionment, while 49% forecast 2024 to be a poor year (26% difference). 

In other words, while expectations are restrained in the region, 2024 is in fact met with some modest optimism.